He should have thrown her under the bus sometime in early September. She didn't do him any favors, accidentally or on purpose, in this campaign and she poisoned her own position. She even managed to alienate some of her support base in Alaska so re-election isn't a given.
She'll be a thorn in somebody's side in 2012 but if she's going to have any impact on a national scale, I don't see it happening until 2016 if she's lucky. Strategically, the Republican party needs to drag itself (kicking and screaming if necessary) back to the center-right and she's too polarizing, one of several qualities she shares with Shrub that makes her a political pariah for those in the party that want to actually the next round.
Best case for her before then would probably be to get re-elected governor and end up in the Senate. Or she could move to Illinois -- apparently their expectations are very low.
There's a tacit not-quite-admission that he knew she was no good. The outrage, if there is any in the post-mortem, here, is that she was on the ticket anyway. The GOP must come back to center if they're to ever have a chance. Politically, socially, etc.-ally, I believe the country as a whole is moving that way - save for pockets of resistance that will die out before too many more generations have come and gone.
I'm pretty sure he knew she was a no-help. She was a calculated choice by McCain's advisors that didn't pay off. IMO, if he'd gone with his gut and chosen Tim Pawlenty (which seems to have been his first choice) it would have been a much different final few weeks. Personally, I find him just as politically scarey as I find her but he would have had what pluses Palin had and fewer of the minuses.
Historically the body politic has swung in a +/- 25% of center for a long, long time. The extremes of either party will always be around and always exert influence -- it's more a question of how much influence they can muster compared to their relative strength. Since the far-center-right to far-right of the Repulican party were able to get large voter turnouts in the last 20 years compared to center and center-left, they've been able to garner a lot of influence. And probably rightfully so, all things condsidered -- They did win elections for people back in the day.
He couldn't have thrown her under the bus during the campaign...
They were too busy stopping the Straight Talk Express...um, er, America First...I mean, that is...Change America Needs...uh...Mavericks'B'Us Extravaganza Travelling Medicine Show to change the slogan on the side every few days.
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She'll be a thorn in somebody's side in 2012 but if she's going to have any impact on a national scale, I don't see it happening until 2016 if she's lucky. Strategically, the Republican party needs to drag itself (kicking and screaming if necessary) back to the center-right and she's too polarizing, one of several qualities she shares with Shrub that makes her a political pariah for those in the party that want to actually the next round.
Best case for her before then would probably be to get re-elected governor and end up in the Senate. Or she could move to Illinois -- apparently their expectations are very low.
- Jeho
no subject
no subject
Historically the body politic has swung in a +/- 25% of center for a long, long time. The extremes of either party will always be around and always exert influence -- it's more a question of how much influence they can muster compared to their relative strength. Since the far-center-right to far-right of the Repulican party were able to get large voter turnouts in the last 20 years compared to center and center-left, they've been able to garner a lot of influence. And probably rightfully so, all things condsidered -- They did win elections for people back in the day.
- Jeho
Under the Bus
They were too busy stopping the
Straight Talk Express...um, er,America First...I mean, that is...Change America Needs...uh...Mavericks'B'Us Extravaganza Travelling Medicine Show to change the slogan on the side every few days.